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Stephanos -> RE: Iran not building nukes (12/3/2007 2:11:45 PM)
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Thought that is what you were mentioning but did not want to assume. But lets look at the NIE report.
quote:
The key judgments conclude with "high confidence" that:
— Until fall 2003, Iranian military entities were working under government direction to develop nuclear weapons;
— In fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program;
— The halt lasted at least several years;
— Iran has the scientific, technical and industrial capacity eventually to produce nuclear weapons if it decides to do reverse course;
— The halt, and Tehran's announcement that it has suspended its declared uranium enrichment program and signed additional safeguards relating to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty are "primarily in response to increasing international scrutiny and pressure resulting from exposure of Iran's previously undeclared nuclear work"; and
— Iran will not be technically capable of producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015.
I like the bolded parts. Iran can produce nukes if it decides it wants to. AND that the scrutiny and pressure against their nuke program is what got them to STOP. AKA...The CURRENT administrations attitude towards Iran and its nuclear program WORKED in getting them to stop weapons research. We have President BUSH to thank for this news that Iran is not currently working towards a weapon.
quote:
The judgments find with "moderate-to-high confidence" that:
— Iran does not currently have a nuclear weapon;
— Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons; and
— Iran has not obtained enough weapons-usable fissile material to develop nuclear weapons, though the NIE assesses with low confidence the importation at all of some material. The report does not rule out that Iran "has acquired from abroad — or will acquire in the future — a nuclear weapon or enough fissile material for a weapon."
The problem is not that Iran is not currently seeking a nuclear weapon (though note that the "Iran does not currently have a nuclear weapon" is NOT in the high confidence section of the report), it is that they, under the current power structure (aka radical Islam), COULD get a nuclear weapon. Any and all efforts need to be taken to make sure that Iran NEVER gets nukes. If we get lazy now because they dont have them now, then when they test their first one we will be sorry.
It is truly good news that Iran is currently not trying to get nukes. But we need to make sure it STAYS that way until Iran becomes a completely free nation, free of the tyrannical rule of radical Islam. It is also good to know that President Bush HAS done the right think, in putting pressure both economic and political on Iran. War should be a last resort. This NIE report shows that we may not have to use war. But we SHOULD NOT LET UP! Not now not ever!
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