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blessedinnyc -> RE: Taxing oil companies (6/15/2008 11:20:29 PM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: _jjp_ quote:
ORIGINAL: blessedinnyc quote:
ORIGINAL: _jjp_ From the article on the ND fields "The U.S. Geological Survey's Leigh Price, a Denver geochemist who died in 2000, estimated that the Bakken might hold 413 billion barrels. If so, it would dwarf Saudi Arabia's Ghawar, the world's biggest field, which has produced about 55 billion barrels. " 413 billion barrels is alot more than 9 months worth. There might be 413 billion barrels of oil shale, but there aren't 413 barrels of oil. If there were a remote chance of these 413 billion barrels getting produced, it would be reflected in the spot markets. However, the spot markets are indicating that oil supplies might decrease. So a bunch of people who've made careers out of predicting oil supply disagree with the journalist you're citing. First off please go actually read the articles, i have read them in industry publications and the predictions are that there are 413 billion barrels of recoverable oil. These are not oil shale deposits, this is a deposit trapped in dolomite. It is a thin layer that they have to hit and will take skill to hit but it is already being tapped. Here is an article from a more trustworthy source (the WSJ): quote:
XTO Energy Inc. agreed to pay $1.85 billion for drilling rights in an oil-producing area near the U.S.-Canadian border, highlighting the once-obscure field's growing importance. The move also reflects rising confidence by energy companies that oil will stay above $100 a barrel. The Fort Worth, Texas, oil and natural-gas producer said it will buy rights to 352,000 acres in the Bakken Shale, which stretches across Montana, North Dakota and ... http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121202919175028377.html The Bakken Field is a shale field, not an oil field. There's a huge difference in how the stuff is recovered, and perhaps more importantly, the land use implications and impact of oil shale. You might be able to farm around a working oil field. You certainly can't farm around a working oil shale mine, and I certainly wouldn't want to eat any food that came from the site of the mine after the mining has completed. One of the problems of leeching out oil shale is that it leaves a highly basic (caustic) residue that actually takes up more volume than the shale you got the oil from. How are we going to dispose of this? We tried oil shale on a limited scale back in the '80s, and it left a big mess. Let's hope it doesn't happen again. In any case, the Bakken Field is not an oil field. It is an oil shale deposit. Most oil fields cost about $40/barrel to recover oil. Oil shale costs closer to $100, before you factor in the environmental costs. At that price renewables look cheaper.
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